Israel's attack on Iran was inevitable. The authorities in Tehran had lied to the IAEA and accelerated uranium enrichment far beyond the level needed for civilian, non-war use. Iran was basically one step away from being able to build 10 atomic bombs. To do what with them?
The ayatollah regime has never missed an opportunity to reiterate that its goal is to destroy the state of Israel. A draft law obliges any government in Tehran to initiate by 2041 the elimination of the Jewish state. The Tel Aviv government could wait no longer, and now it cannot stop.
Israel's superiority over Iran is beyond question in every field: technological, training, intelligence and motivation Tehran can only rely on numerical superiority of its army because its population is almost 10 times that of Israel.
Thus, the outcome of this preemptive war desired by Netanyahu is quite a foregone conclusion. Also because to Tehran's rescue is unlikely to move any other state in the area. The Iranian regime has many tentacles in Lebanon, Yemen in Gaza but is isolated in the Middle Eastern chessboard. China and Russia , beyond the usual phrases, stand at the window. China, in particular, would not like the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz through which much of the oil that the Dragon's economy needs passes.
Israel leveraged widespread discontent in Iranian society and establishment and thus was able to infiltrate the highly efficient Mossad into vital ganglia of power in Tehran. One cannot otherwise explain the surgical precision with which military and political figures and even scientists involved in the nuclear project were targeted. The possibility that the bloodthirsty theocratic regime that has oppressed the Iranian people since 1979 could be swept away seems less remote than in the past. A worse regime could hardly take its place.
Israel, therefore, is fighting a battle not only to prevent its destruction but also to help the Iranians rid themselves of these inefficient, corrupt and vicious theocrats. A regime change in Iran could remove a dangerous boil from an area that only a few months ago freed itself from another 'genius' of dictators, that of the Assad family, backed by Putin.
If this were to happen, the entire Middle East could begin to write a new page of history under the banner of stabilization and peaceful coexistence after a trail of bloody wars that has lasted nearly 80 years
Without the Ayatollahs, Hezbollah's presence in Lebanon would end and a new chapter of tranquility would also open for the cedar country torn apart by externally maneuvered conflicts. The end of the Iranian regime would take oxygen away from the Houti terrorist state that has disrupted Yemen and "disturbed" Saudi Arabia.
And Hamas,in what remains of Gaza, would also lose a significant foothold.
In practice, the end of the ayatollahs' regime after Assad's could set the conditions for Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the Emirates to exercise a stabilizing role in the Middle East, without the nightmare of Iranian bullying anymore. There is, however, a "but" as big as a boulder. And it concerns Israel itself and the Palestinian issue.
Netanyahu has unscrupulously and totally misconducted the campaign to eliminate Hamas by causing an exorbitant number of civilian casualties, and showing utter contempt for the entire Palestinian people and their future.
And here Israel's great contradiction emerges.
On the one hand, it bravely fights alone against Iran a war that all Arab countries can only appreciate. But at the same time, Israel puts in great difficulty precisely those Arab countries whose public opinions-although controlled-cannot accept the massacre of the Palestinians, the denial of any future for that people whom Netanyahu and the extremist right are persecuting in a cynical and inhumane manner.
It would take strong Western, American and European leadership to change Netanyahu's mind and convince him to stop the carnage in Gaza and open to the "two-state two-people" solution, the only one possible.
But Trump does not understand these things: he is only interested in turning Gaza into a Riviera. Europe, along with the United Kingdom, cannot even this time manage to act as an effective actor and driver of a diplomatic breakthrough that would make an axis with the Gulf monarchies and force Israel to change its mind.
Meanwhile, Netanyahu cultivates his most perverse calculation: to use the likely success in the war against Iran to get a free hand in Gaza and permanently deny the Palestinian people a future.
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