Ku do t\u00eb \u00e7oj\u00eb p\u00ebrmbysja n\u00eb balancat globale e nisur n\u00eb vet\u00ebm 30 dit\u00eb nga Presidenti Trump? \u00cbsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebsh parashikime, edhe sepse strategjia e Sht\u00ebpis\u00eb s\u00eb Bardh\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb ende e p\u00ebrcaktuar mir\u00eb dhe dihet q\u00eb Trump \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb personazh i paparashikuesh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Zgjedhjet e para t\u00eb presidentit amerikan duket se tregojn\u00eb k\u00ebto drejtime<\/p>\n\n\n\n
1) Trump, ashtu si paraardh\u00ebsi i tij Biden, e konsideron Kin\u00ebn kund\u00ebrshtarin - n\u00ebse jo armikun - num\u00ebr nj\u00eb dhe synon t\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtoj\u00eb zgjerimin e saj ekonomik dhe ndikimin e tij n\u00eb rritje n\u00eb fusha t\u00eb ndryshme, duke filluar nga Indo-Paq\u00ebsori.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2) Ndryshe nga Biden, Trump d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb rivendos\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie t\u00eb ngushta me Rusin\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb i gatsh\u00ebm t\u00eb anashkaloj\u00eb p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsit\u00eb e Putinit n\u00eb agresionin kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs, \u00ebsht\u00eb i gatsh\u00ebm t'i pranoj\u00eb Mosk\u00ebs nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb pretendimeve t\u00eb saj territoriale dhe t\u00eb parandaloj\u00eb hyrjen e Kievit n\u00eb NATO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
3) Q\u00ebllimi i k\u00ebtij mir\u00ebkuptimi t\u00eb p\u00ebrzem\u00ebrt me Putinin do t\u00eb ishte shk\u00ebputja e Rusis\u00eb nga Kina dhe k\u00ebshtu izolimi i Dragoit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
4)Trump p\u00ebr\u00e7mon Evrop\u00ebn. Ajo e konsideron at\u00eb nj\u00eb fuqi ekonomikisht armiq\u00ebsore dhe d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb shk\u00ebput\u00eb gradualisht Shtetet e Bashkuara nga roli i saj tradicional si nj\u00eb garantues ushtarak i siguris\u00eb p\u00ebr Kontinentin e Vjet\u00ebr. Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb drejtimi q\u00eb kan\u00eb marr\u00eb vendimet p\u00ebr tarifat dhe k\u00ebrkesa e tepruar p\u00ebr t\u00eb rritur shpenzimet e mbrojtjes n\u00eb 51% t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb ulur angazhimin financiar t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs p\u00ebr armatimet e NATO-s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Pas k\u00ebtyre orientimeve t\u00eb Sht\u00ebpis\u00eb s\u00eb Bardh\u00eb q\u00ebndron ideja se bota mund t\u00eb qeveriset nga tre perandori, amerikane, ruse dhe kineze. Kjo qeveri bot\u00ebrore mund t\u00eb ndodhte n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb paq\u00ebsore, duke ndar\u00eb sferat e ndikimit midis tre perandorive, si\u00e7 ndodhi n\u00eb Jalt\u00eb n\u00eb 1945, ose n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb konfliktuale, duke p\u00ebrdorur forc\u00ebn ekonomike dhe duke k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuar se do t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorte forc\u00ebn ushtarake.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
K\u00ebta jan\u00eb skenar\u00eb shum\u00eb hipotetik\u00eb. Ne ende nuk e dim\u00eb n\u00ebse, kur dhe si Trump do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje me Putinin p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn, e cila \u00ebsht\u00eb e pranueshme p\u00ebr Kievin dhe BE-n\u00eb, as, deri m\u00eb tani, nuk dihet se \u00e7far\u00eb angazhimesh t\u00eb besueshme mund t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb Rusia p\u00ebr t\u00eb siguruar respektimin e ndonj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeje me Trump. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, k\u00ebta skenar\u00eb injorojn\u00eb ekzistenc\u00ebn e Bashkimit Evropian dhe fuqive n\u00eb zhvillim si India.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Por nj\u00eb konsiderat\u00eb e par\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e nevojshme. Ekzistojn\u00eb dy gabime themelore q\u00eb q\u00ebndrojn\u00eb n\u00eb themel t\u00eb k\u00ebtyre orientimeve t\u00eb Sht\u00ebpis\u00eb s\u00eb Bardh\u00eb. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
I pari. N\u00ebse SHBA d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtoj\u00eb zgjerimin e Kin\u00ebs dhe t\u00eb kufizoj\u00eb fuqin\u00eb e saj ekonomike, m\u00ebnyra m\u00eb e mir\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb t\u00eb forcoj\u00eb boshtin euro-amerikan. Un\u00eb kam argumentuar vazhdimisht se ne duhet t\u00eb integrojm\u00eb sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb ekonomit\u00eb dhe tregjet e dy brigjeve t\u00eb Oqeanit Atlantik dhe t\u00eb krijojm\u00eb nj\u00eb k\u00ebshtjell\u00eb t\u00eb vetme t\u00eb madhe ekonomiko-financiare-teknologjike q\u00eb ndan t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat ideale t\u00eb liris\u00eb, demokracis\u00eb dhe tregut t\u00eb lir\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SHBA prodhon 261 TP3T t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb bot\u00ebrore. Bashkimi Evropian, s\u00eb bashku me Mbret\u00ebrin\u00eb e Bashkuar, 19%. S\u00eb bashku ata do t\u00eb arrinin n\u00eb 45% dhe do t\u00eb kufizonin Kin\u00ebn n\u00eb 19% t\u00eb saj. Kjo do t\u00eb ishte barriera m\u00eb e pakap\u00ebrcyeshme kund\u00ebr Pekinit dhe gar\u00ebs s\u00eb tij p\u00ebr t'u b\u00ebr\u00eb superfuqia e par\u00eb duke rr\u00ebzuar Shtetet e Bashkuara nga podiumi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u00eb vend t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj, Trump d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt\u00ebn: t\u00eb dob\u00ebsoj\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet me Bashkimin Evropian me iluzionin se proteksionizmi forcon Amerik\u00ebn dhe e lejon at\u00eb t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtoj\u00eb nj\u00eb mur i vet\u00ebm kund\u00ebr rritjes ekonomike dhe gjeopolitike kineze.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Gabimi i dyt\u00eb q\u00eb po b\u00ebn Sht\u00ebpia e Bardh\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe m\u00eb skandaloz se i pari. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trump mendon t\u00eb shk\u00ebput\u00eb Rusin\u00eb nga Kina, ndoshta duke lejuar Putinin t\u00eb rifilloj\u00eb \u00ebndrr\u00ebn e tij p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndikuar edhe nj\u00eb her\u00eb n\u00eb disa vende t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs Lindore dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuar t\u00eb tjer\u00ebt. N\u00eb realitet, Rusia nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb pa Kin\u00ebn. Putini mund t'i premtoj\u00eb Trumpit at\u00eb q\u00eb presidentit amerikan i p\u00eblqen t\u00eb d\u00ebgjoj\u00eb, por n\u00eb realitet Moska nuk mund ta tradhtoj\u00eb Pekinin. Hakmarrja kineze do t\u00eb ishte shkat\u00ebrruese p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb skenar, Putini do t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqej m\u00eb mir\u00eb t\u00eb mbante nj\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb dy kampet: duke p\u00ebrfituar nga pajtueshm\u00ebria amerikane p\u00ebr t'u zgjeruar sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb e mundur n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb dhe nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb duke ruajtur marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet e "miq\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb p\u00ebrhershme" me Pekinin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Si\u00e7 mund ta shihni, rreziku p\u00ebr Shtetet e Bashkuara do t\u00eb ishte i madh: do ta privonte veten nga aleat\u00ebt tradicional\u00eb dhe do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundonte duke forcuar boshtin midis Kin\u00ebs dhe Rusis\u00eb. Lufta e Tret\u00eb Bot\u00ebrore thuhet se \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb prag t\u00eb nesh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
N\u00eb enigm\u00ebn hipotetike t\u00eb tre perandorive me t\u00eb cilat po luan, Trump harron gjithashtu se Bashkimi Evropian mund t\u00eb shtyhet nga proteksionizmi amerikan p\u00ebr t\u00eb k\u00ebrkuar m\u00eb shum\u00eb rrug\u00ebdalje n\u00eb tregun kinez dhe harron gjithashtu se n\u00ebse fillon "falas p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb", askush nuk e ndalon BE-n\u00eb t\u00eb vendos\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie me BRICS, duke u ofruar k\u00ebshtu k\u00ebtyre vendeve nj\u00eb platform\u00eb solide p\u00ebr t\u00eb zot\u00ebruar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Shkurtimisht, Sht\u00ebpia e Bardh\u00eb do t\u00eb b\u00ebnte mir\u00eb t\u00eb reflektonte mbi pasojat afatgjata t\u00eb zgjedhjeve q\u00eb sot duken krejt\u00ebsisht n\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtim me q\u00ebllimin p\u00ebr ta b\u00ebr\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn p\u00ebrs\u00ebri t\u00eb madhe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Dove porter\u00e0 lo sconvolgimento degli equilibri mondiali avviato in soli 30 giorni dal Presidente Trump? Difficile fare previsioni, anche perch\u00e8 la strategia della Casa Bianca non \u00e8 ancora ben definita ed \u00e8 noto che Trump \u00e8 un personaggio imprevedibile. Le prime scelte del Presidente Usa sembrano indicare queste direzioni 1) Trump, come il suo predecessore […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6105,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","iawp_total_views":30,"footnotes":""},"categories":[402,422,449,199,366],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6104","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-america-and-the-west","category-editoriali","category-in-evidenza","category-strategic-views","category-top-stories"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6104","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6104"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6104\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6106,"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6104\/revisions\/6106"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6105"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6104"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6104"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/albanitaly.al\/sq\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6104"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}