Trump and Biden, on one point have always had a coincidence of views: America's main problem is to maintain its primacy as a hegemonic world power and prevent China from taking over.
If this is the goal, what are the rational means to achieve it?
The simplest and most rational is what I have always advocated:create an iron, political, economic, military-technological axis between the U.S. and the European Union by bringing together a geopolitical area with about 1 billion largely affluent people united by traditions of democracy and freedom. An unsinkable battleship to oppose China's hegemonic claims and a strong response to the creation of a Beijing-centric front that has in the BRICS alliance its m
pivot.
The way was already paved: for 8 decades Europe and the U.S. had been marching in the same direction with advantages largely their own for the United States. It was a matter of unifying markets, creating U.S.-EU world champions in technology, energy, transportation, and scientific research to compete from strong positions with emerging power China.
Trump has decided to do exactly the opposite. His favorite target is Europe called “freeloading,” humiliated with disproportionate tariffs, weakened militarily and now even mocked by the herd of ignoramuses ranging from Vance to Musk to Hegseth who claim to give us lessons in freedom, they who support parties with Nazi and fascist nostalgia.
Thus, the No. 1 ally, Europe, is treated as the enemy to be put down, to be broken up under the illusion of creating 27 countries that go hat in hand begging for favors from the US.
Not only that. Trump has turned 80 years of U.S.-European joint action against Russia upside down and has chosen to ally with Moscow not from positions of strength but by granting Putin the advantage of being able to impose his demands on Ukraine and effectively giving him a free pass for further raids of conquest on European countries. If tomorrow or the day after tomorrow Putin decided to attack chunks of territory in Estonia or Latvia, are we sure that America would intervene in the spirit of Article 5 of NATO? I believe that this would not happen
Trump's disloyalty to Europe has the bitter, foul-smelling taste of betrayal. Before Putin chose the old aggressive and imperialist Russian line, Europe could have made a pact with Russia, creating a virtuous circuit between the economic and technological power of EU countries and Moscow's supply of cheap energy, thus distancing itself from the United States. Europe did not betray America when it could have done so. Trump, on the other hand, had no qualms about giving his best ally a stab in the back.
And what about Trump's behavior with India? The world's largest -numerically- largest democracy was looking forward to being able to relieve itself of both the burden of military supplies it receives from Moscow and the unwieldy proximity of China with which it shares the BRICS common house. So what does Trump do? He raises tariffs to 50% right at India forcing New Dehli to strengthen its ties with Moscow and feel less strong toward China.
To stay in the BRICS area, Trump has broken off all relations with South Africa , Musk's homeland...,forcing this country to become increasingly subservient to China in this alliance.
But Trump also cultivates another chimera: to regain control of Latin America.And what does he do? He goes on a collision course with Mexico and the real economic giant of that ’area, Brazil, staking all his cards on the most unstable and indebted country in South America: Argentina.
Result of this contradictory and sometimes demented strategy?
China emerges significantly strengthened and becomes the sole leader of the BRICS. In fact, Russia remains China's ally and cannot break away from the perennial friendship pact with Beijing; India distances itself from the U.S. and is weakened vis-à-vis China; Brazil increasingly becomes the beachhead of China's economy and strategy in Latin America; South Africa does likewise with regard to subequatorial Africa; and Europe is forced to seek forms of closer cooperation with Xi Jinping . Such a masterpiece of American self-defeat as this was unimaginable. If to all this were to be added the de facto green light to the Chinese occupation of Taiwan-which is not impossible given Trump's lack of lucidity-the disaster would be perfect and Japan , South Korea ,VietaNam and the Philippines would also end up feeling more and more the breath on the Dragon's neck.
Does this scenario prelude world peace or World War III ? The question is purely and tragically rhetorical.
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